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Editorial: La Vanguardia

  • Nationwide protests in Iran were sparked by high inflation, rial depreciation and an increase in US economic sanctions.
  • The theocratic regime has responded with repression, resulting in over 500 deaths and 10,000 detainees, according to human rights groups.
  • This is the biggest challenge to the regime since September 2022.
  • Iran's young population, who make up nearly half of the nation's population, are the main actors of the protests.
  • Iran has annual inflation of 42% and interannual inflation of over 52% between November and December.
  • The brutal economic crisis has left authorities in a more vulnerable position.
  • President Trump has threatened possible military intervention in Iran.
  • Iran warns that a US attack would make the US military bases in the region legitimate targets.
  • The protests reflect popular frustration with Iran's backing of Islamist groups in the region.
  • Iran is isolated while Israel and the repressive security forces continue to support the regime.

Conclusion: Despite growing national and international pressure, a change in Iran's political system seems difficult in the short term. However, a US military intervention could alter the current situation.