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Editorial: La Vanguardia

  • Spain is faced with an unprecedented level of political complexity since the restoration of democracy.
  • The government of Pedro Sanchez has the support of a parliamentary majority that could reach up to 179 seats, heavily dependent on Junts per Catalunya.
  • The People's Party controls eleven autonomous regions, alone or in coalition, which could lead to a powerful territorial opposition block.
  • Amnesty law is a key vector in the current legislative cycle, with Catalan independents holding much sway.
  • Political negotiations are taking on a tone of magical realism, incorporating international mediators and the European Commission.
  • The People's Party will seek to destabilize the government in the 2024 European elections.
  • These elections will set the pace for Spanish politics during the first half of 2024, together with regional elections in Galicia and the Basque Country.

Conclusion: Although 2024 will be a complex political year for Spain, it will not necessarily be a lost year. The European elections and the US presidential elections in November will be key.