- Uncertainty exists over the continuation of Michel Barnier's government towards winter.
- The Rassemblement National party threatens to overthrow the government if Article 49.3 is applied to the budget.
- Marine Le Pen seeks to influence the content of the 2025 budget and regain her influence after the trial of the FN parliamentary assistants.
- Barnier is under pressure, but it is unclear whether RN and NFP will assume responsibility for a new political crisis.
- The NFP is preparing and the Socialist Party and the unsubordinated left have strategic disagreements.
- Possible candidates to succeed Matignon are Bernard Cazeneuve and Lucie Castets among others.
Conclusion: The current political landscape is uncertain and unstable, with key political players actively negotiating their positions and strategies.