The Paris Agreement, signed ten years ago, is at risk of failing its goal of limiting global warming to 1.5°C.
2025 is predicted to be one of the hottest years in history.
The United States, the second-largest CO2 emitter, is on the verge of pulling out of the agreement.
Donald Trump refers to climate change as the 'greatest scam' and is trying to persuade other countries to follow his lead.
Meeting commitments, financing and the start of the transition to low-carbon energy is imperative.
Geopolitical tensions and the lack of global leadership are negatively impacting climate diplomacy.
Europe, the only bloc that managed to reduce CO2 emissions in 2024, is losing steam due to its populism and budget constraints.
China avoids stepping up as an energy transition leader by keeping its developing nation status.
Brazil could play a pivotal role in the situation, but it needs to balance its climate commitments with its growing oil ambitions.
Conclusion: The U.S. withdrawal from the Paris Agreement should not be seen as a setback, but as an opportunity to prioritize coordination over confrontation. The COP30 in Belem must send a message of unity and perseverance, without which the Paris Agreement would be significantly weakened.