Murder of Hizbullah's elite forces leader, Ibrahim Aqil, in an Israeli bombing in Beirut.
Escalation of tension that brings the contagion of war in Gaza closer to Lebanon and involves the Lebanese militia, more armed and sophisticated than their Hamas allies.
Possible extension of the conflict to Iran, a major protector of the axis of resistance against Israel.
Hizbullah vulnerable after the death of its military leader, Fuad Shukr, in July and the recent attack that left thirty dead and thousands injured.
Netanyahu's offensives in Gaza have not achieved the objectives of ending Hamas or rescuing Israeli hostages.
Conclusion: The situation is highly volatile and risky, with an increase in tension and fear of the conflict expanding to Lebanon and Iran.