Pedro Sánchez's strategy of polarization and victimization has negatively affected the campaign in Catalonia.
Salvador Illa proposed a constructive and centered campaign, but Sánchez's dialectic has overridden his proposal.
Sánchez is backing the electoral expectations of the PSC in Catalonia, hoping for a win to launch him into European elections.
A positive result is forecasted for the PSC, winning the Catalan elections with 29.8% of the vote.
The independentist parties Junts and ERC would see a drop from the previous elections.
The PP of Alejandro Fernández would increase its seats and establish itself as the fourth force.
A possible victory of the PSC does not ensure socialist governability in Catalonia nor in the Congress.
Conclusion: The political environment in Catalonia is uncertain. Despite favorable forecasts for the PSC, Pedro Sánchez's figure and his strategies have polarized the situation and could result in political stagnation.