The regional elections in the Basque Country are set to be the most uncertain in recent years, showcasing a stiff competition between PNV and EH Bildu.
This round of elections marks a first since 1980 with the left-wing nationalist party presenting a strong challenge to the Basque Nationalist Party.
Bildu's growing electoral pull signifies its increasing relevance in Basque politics.
The generational shift of candidates reflects a society now more concerned about social welfare than identity issues.
The apologies of Bildu's candidate, Pello Otxandiano, for his failure to condemn the terrorism of ETA were deemed insufficient and indicates a lack of recognition of the senselessness of the violence.
Despite Bildu's electoral growth, this lack of recognition might lead to the continuation of the pact between PNV and PSE.
Voter turnout is expected to surpass the 51% mark, a noticeable improvement from the July 2020 elections.
Even with the second elections within a year, the outcome is not expected to impact Spain's governance.
Conclusion: The key to the outcome of these uncertain elections lies in the high level of voter mobilization and the pool of undecided voters, which is around 20%.