The Cuban regime is entering a critical phase and is seeking to negotiate with Washington to avoid collapse.
Cuba is experiencing an energy crisis, productive deterioration, massive emigration and erosion of internal legitimacy.
There is a possibility that Raul Castro could be prosecuted for the downing of the Brothers to the Rescue planes in 1996.
The Cuban regime has lost much of its traditional external support.
The United States is offering humanitarian aid through the Catholic Church, which is a political blow against the regime.
Conclusion: For the first time in many years, a window of opportunity is opening for Cuban society. The Cuban regime is being forced to act on the defensive.